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While energy price volatility and war in the Middle East bring unwelcome memories of 2022 for European investors, the continent has made progress in improving its energy resilience. This is reflected in ECB macroeconomic expectations, which outline a small hit to GDP growth under baseline assumptions.

Sales at U.S. retailers bounced back in February after a brief weak spell, suggesting the economy is still expanding at decent speed despite a turbulent start to the new year.

Futures continued Tuesday's rally before Wednesday's opening bell. Tom White explains how rhetoric from the Trump administration and anticipation of tonight's address from the president add fuel to the gains kicking off a new quarter.
Private job growth totaled 62,000 in March, down just 4,000 from February's upwardly revised level but above the Dow Jones consensus for 39,000, according to ADP. Like February's report, two sectors essentially provided all the gains.

There is little evidence yet that consumers have pulled back on spending, Barkin said.

Owning the S&P 500 index is supposed to expose ETF investors to top stocks. Unfortunately this year, the index is light on the winners.

President Trump is scheduled to give a national address on the Iran war tonight, leading European stock markets to rally at the open as investors cheer hopes of de-escalation.

US stocks are set to extend their rally on Wednesday, 1 April, on hopes of an end to the war in the Middle East. Nasdaq futures were pointing to a 0.9% gain, with Dow Jones and S&P 500 futures up 0.7%.

The stock market bounced driven by Iran war headlines, but the bounce is likely to be short-lived, as the macro situation remains vulnerable. The endgame for the Iran war is still uncertain, and oil prices are likely to remain high even if the war "freezes", which seems to be the current situation.

Volatility is through the roof, and stocks just suffered the worst quarter in almost four years. Yet, global deal volume is surging given a full pipeline of mergers and acquisitions.

Companies raised the most through share sales in the first quarter since 2021, and mega-IPOs from Space X and OpenAI may raise tens of billions more in the coming months despite volatility amid the Iran war and a software stock selloff, according to new data and dealmakers.

What matters in U.S. and global markets today

Stock markets are hopeful. Oil markets less so.

When visitors paid $449 for premium tickets to Barbie Dream Fest in Fort Lauderdale last week, they were not buying a ticket in the traditional sense. They were buying into a world: a neon roller rink, an immersive Dreamhouse, a high-production fan experience built around one of the most recognisable brands in the world.

OpenAI's huge funding round could reignite AI excitement, Apple turns 50, NASA is about to send four astronauts on trip around the moon, and more news to start your day.

Plus, deal activity unfazed by war.

Despite the US and world economies being hit by an unusually serious oil, natural gas, and food price shock, over the past month the S&P 500 index has declined by only 7.5 percent from its all-time high. That leaves equity valuations more than 50 percent above their long-term average.

The most oversold stocks in the consumer discretionary sector presents an opportunity to buy into undervalued companies.

The Federal Reserve needs a new chairman. Jerome Powell's term expires May 15.

US stock futures edged higher on Wednesday, a day after markets recorded their biggest one-day gain in nearly a year, as reports suggested the war with Iran could be nearing an end. Global shares rose, oil prices declined and the dollar rebounded as signs emerged of a potential easing of hostilities in the Middle East and the possible reopening of key shipping routes.