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Gulf markets have diverged sharply since the Iran war started, with Oman and Saudi Arabia outperforming as Dubai has faltered. Oil price volatility and geopolitical turmoil are shaping investor sentiment, as inflation remains a live risk for the region's dollar-pegged economies.
This week Dr. Ed Yardeni joins the Podcast to analyze how the Middle East conflict and 'the fog of war' are reshaping the global economic outlook. He discusses why he raised his recession odds to 35% and how current geopolitical volatility may force the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate cuts indefinitely.
A new policy initiative from the Federal Reserve, through one of its governors, Stephen Miran, is bringing bank loan ETFs back in focus. His proposal to shrink the balance sheet while potentially allowing lower rates creates a tricky backdrop for floating-rate strategies that have thrived in a high-rate environment.
US stocks fell Friday morning as oil prices jumped above $110 a barrel and President Trump's extended deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz failed to assuage investors.
Nouriel Roubini warned that Trump's approach to Iran risks escalation and could spark 1970s-style stagflation.
Loretta Mester, Princeton University Griswold Center for Economic Policy senior scholar and former Cleveland Fed president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's interest rate path outlook, and more.
The ISM March flash report suggests modest job losses in March, although the recent March data points to a still solid labor market. The main worry now is stagflation and the Fed's reaction function—the market is starting to price a hike in 2026.
I see the S&P 500 at a critical juncture, with equal odds of a technical correction or a trend change, but growing risk to the downside. Macro deterioration, credit stress, and sector rotation—especially energy strength and metals weakness—signal mounting pressure on margins and economic activity.
The Federal Reserve reported a third consecutive annual operating loss of -$18.8 billion for 2025, but this marks a 76% improvement from 2024. The Fed's policy normalization and 175 bps in rate cuts have reduced its asset-liability mismatch and interest expenses, supporting a return to quarterly profitability.
Stock futures are lower Friday as the major indexes aim to avoid losing ground for a fifth straight week amid uncertainty over the Iran war; President Trump set April 6 as the new deadline for talks with Iran before the U.S. attacks power plants in the country; the Senate approved a bill to fund most of the Department of Homeland Security in a step to end the ongoing TSA worker shortage; SpaceX is reportedly targeting June for its initial public offering, looking to raise between $40 billion and $80 billion; and shares of video game software maker Unity are soaring after the company released preliminary first-quarter results that topped its previous forecasts. Here's what you need to know today.
History is repeating itself with markets plunging around the same time in 2025 following President Trump's tariff announcement. Sam Burns compares and contrasts the price action and how long-term implications in the U.S.-Iran War differ.
Geopolitical tensions and bond market reactions are driving heightened volatility, with jawboning by the administration losing effectiveness as investors demand tangible de-escalation. A follow-through on threats against Iran risks parabolic oil price surges, higher inflation, a stronger dollar, and undermining the U.S. economic agenda.
Jenny Horne looks ahead to the final day of what is (so far) yet another down week for Wall Street. She explains what moves investors should brace for Friday as risk-off sentiment continues to choke price action.
U.S. futures markets show crude oil prices remaining above $80 a barrel as far out as November.
A record start to the year for emerging-market debt sales has largely ground to a halt as worries over the Iran war create havoc in the markets and push up borrowing costs, bankers and investors told Reuters, a situation that places a number of nations in limbo.
Borrowing costs eat into trading profits. These stocks are less expensive to short.
President Trump's war-mongering in Iran is backfiring — on S&P 500 investors.
The ongoing Iran conflict has led to proposals for a costly oil shipping toll through the Strait of Hormuz, but such measures are economically unsustainable. Freight rates for VLCCs on the Middle East–China route have surged from $1.4 million to $5 million per trip, with tolls further eroding margins.
Bonds issued by various European countries continued to sell off on Friday, deepening a rout that has been near-continuous since the U.S.-Iran war began. French and German 10-year bond yields hit their highest since 2011 this week, while bonds issued by various other euro zone economies also sold off sharply.
Over the past six months, investors have weathered some major swings in the U.S. equity market.